Jeff's Journal - #14

I’m a forecasting fool. Starting to learn the "do’s" and "dont’s" of the prediction business. Like don’t pick against Arkansas at Texas or Troy State at UAB, and do pick Mississippi State to lose the rest of their games this season. Here’s the breakdown from week 3: 6-2 in the SEC. 8-3 overall. For the season: 25-11 overall. 20-7 in the SEC.

Let’s jump right into week #4, with a couple of dandy games in the SEC right off the bat.

Tennessee at Florida - Call me crazy, but I think Tennessee can win in the Swamp. Like Philip Fulmer says, 4-year starter Casey Clausen has been there before. Tennessee 24, Florida 23

Georgia at LSU - Already, this one is being called a possible preview to the SEC Championship Game. Wouldn’t surprise me much if it turned out that way. I’ll take the Dawgs in Atlanta in December, but give

me the Bengal Tigers in Baton Rouge in September. LSU 27, Georgia 24

Kentucky at Indiana - Jared Lorenzen took quite a beating last week in Tuscaloosa. But despite the pounding and the loss, this "J-Lo" still fared better than the other "J-Lo." The Hoosiers are on the receiving end of a Wildcat "bounce back." Kentucky 35, Indiana 21

North Texas at Arkansas - This is the classic "sandwich" game for the Razorbacks. Still on cloud nine after upsetting Texas, with the big game at Alabama looming next week, it would be easy for the Hogs to not be sharp Saturday. Fortunately for Houston Nutt, they won’t need to be. Arkansas 42, North Texas 10

Vanderbilt at Texas Christian - Vandy not only gave up the first touchdown to Auburn this season. They gave up the first six touchdowns to Auburn this season. The Horned Frogs are ready to score a few more.
Texas Christian 31, Vanderbilt 21

UAB at South Carolina - By the end of the week, Lou Holtz will have his players believing that UAB is better than Georgia. The Blazers are smarting after losing at home to Troy State last week. South Carolina 38, UAB 14

Mississippi State at Houston - State fooled me last week. I picked the Bulldogs to beat Tulane. I won’t be fooled again. Houston 27, Mississippi State 24

Northern Illinois at Alabama - the Tide is susceptible to the same "Sandwich Scenario" that’s facing Arkansas. Northern Illinois already has one "top 25" win under its belt (Maryland in the season opener). The Huskies would love to get another, but I can’t see Bama losing at home on a Saturday night.

Alabama 31, Northern Illinois 17

With Auburn off this weekend, let’s check in on the rest of our local teams:

Southeastern Louisiana at Troy State - The Trojans unveil Movie Gallery Stadium. Former Kentucky coach Hal Mumme is the opponent. With a new quarterback (Aaron Leak) and a new stadium, it’s going to be a long night for Coach Mumme. Troy State 45, Southeast Louisiana 28

Tuskegee vs. Hampton - The Golden Tigers are heading to Cleveland, Ohio to play this one. Take it from a Buckeye native, they love good football up there. And they’ll see it Saturday from ‘Skegee. Tuskegee 24, Hampton 10

Alabama State at Arkansas-Pine Bluff - The Hornets were picked to finish last in their division in the SWAC. And that was before L.C. Cole was suspended. This bunch of Hornets seems to be taking that personally. Alabama State 38, Arkansas-Pine Bluff 24

Well, there you have it. Now it’s your turn. Feel free to comment on my picks in the Feedback Forum. Or make your own by playing SEC Football Frenzy. It’s just a click away under "Games and Contests." See you next week! God bless - Jeff