A wet evening is in progress across central and south Alabama Thursday. With very cold air aloft, there have been several reports of sleet scattered around the state. With temperatures well above freezing, the sleet will quickly melt on impact. No big deal.
WINTRY MESS: Colder air will settle into Alabama as sunrise approaches Friday. This should lead to a mixture of rain and snow in our northern and western counties. The greatest chance of wintry weather comes along and north of a line from Lafayette to Prattville to Camden - places like Demopolis, Selma, Marion, Billingsley, Clanton, Rockford and Alex City. There, some slushy accumulation of snow is possible, mainly in the grass and on elevated surfaces - things like mailboxes, cars, rooftops, etc.
With a warm ground and temperatures above freezing, the snow will struggle to accumulate. Still, it's not out of the question that a few spots see a quick burst of snow that could drop an inch or two of slushy snow.
Farther south, for places like Montgomery, Troy, Tuskegee, Luverne and Andalusia, we think most of what falls will likely be rain or a rain/snow mix. That should minimize the accumulation potential. The ground could turn slushy on a temporary basis.
The mix of rain and snow will grow lighter into Friday night, but a few pockets of rain and snow could linger in south and southeast Alabama Friday night.
WHAT COULD GO WRONG? Well, it's a snow forecast in Alabama - so, there WILL be surprises and things that we don't expect. If the cold air makes it farther south, we'll have more snow in more places. If less cold air funnels into the state, we'll have more cold rain and little or no snow. I have spelled out the most likely scenario, but it's important to remember that there are multiple outcomes in play Thursday night and Friday.
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