First Alert: Storms tomorrow in west Alabama?

Rain, storms a good bet tomorrow - some could be strong

Josh's Tuesday early evening update

MONTGOMERY, AL (WSFA) - What a difference a few counties can make! East Alabama stayed in the 40s all day with a biting easterly wind and occasional rain, while the southern counties of the state warmed into the 60s. All of that changes Wednesday, however, as warm air surges in from the south. Most of our area (everyone except the far northeastern counties) will skyrocket into the 70s tomorrow, with a southerly breeze funneling in warm, moisture-laden air from the Gulf of Mexico.

This air will create an environment that *could* produce a few intense storms, mainly in far west and southwest Alabama. The primary concern with these storms is the possibility of a few damaging wind gusts. And, given favorable shear profiles, we will need to mention a very small risk of a brief tornado tomorrow afternoon. The timeframe of concern is from noon until 4pm, and this threat will stay over west and southwest Alabama. For Montgomery and points east, the severe weather risk is basically zero.

Warm, wet weather continues Thursday and Friday - wind fields become weaker and unidirectional, so the tornado risk drops to near zero. But, the most intense storm cores could potentially produce small pockets of damaging wind gusts and perhaps some small hail. For most, though, it’s just warm with occasional rain.

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