MONTGOMERY, AL (WSFA) - Alabama remains in a dreary weather pattern, with intervals of rain continuing through the weekend. The good news? It won’t rain the entire time. The bad news? Multiple waves of rain are a good bet, a few thunderstorms are likely along the way, and Sunday could bring a risk of severe weather and tornadoes to the state. Let’s dive in...
Friday, scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder will roll across the state. The rain won’t last all day, but it could be briefly heavy in spots. We don’t expect severe weather issues. Then, Saturday will feature a mix of sun and clouds, some scattered showers and thunderstorms, and continued warm weather.
Things change Sunday, and not in a good way. A surface low cranks up northwest of us, moving across the Tennessee Valley. Ahead of that system, warm air moves inland off the Gulf of Mexico - a key issue in determining Sunday’s severe weather risk is figuring out just how far northward this warm, moisture-laden air will move. As of right now, we think this warm air will move into most or all of our area, setting the stage for a round of powerful thunderstorms.
There is still some model disagreement on specifics, but preliminary indications point to at least some possibility of severe weather and tornadoes across the state on Sunday. We’ll be able to provide more details on timing and the magnitude of the risk in the days to come, so check back for updates!
Bitterly cold air arrives Monday and beyond, and many of us will drop to or below freezing on multiple nights next week. Protection of vulnerable fruits, plants and flowers will be necessary across the state.
The coldest night will likely be Tuesday night, when temperatures drop into the 25-32 degree range. Afternoon temperatures will stay in the 40s next Tuesday and Wednesday, before a slow warming trend begins next week.
Water levels continue to rise along the Tombigbee and Black Warrior Rivers in west Alabama. And, additional rainfall through Sunday will not help; water levels will drop only slowly in the days to come.
We expect the water to reach roughly 82.6 feet near Demopolis Lock and Dam, so flooding will continue in and around Demopolis and along the Tombigbeer River in western Marengo County.
Josh Johnson, WSFA First Alert Chief Meteorologist