First Alert: Tracking possible severe weather Sunday afternoon

Heavy rain, gusty winds, hail and isolated tornadoes are all possible as our next system rolls through Alabama

Amanda's updated forecast

MONTGOMERY, AL (WSFA) - An active weather pattern could culminate in an episode of severe weather Sunday.

It’s going to be a tale of two different forecasts... Saturday and Sunday may be similar when it comes to temperatures, but that’s all the two days have in common.

Highs each day will climb close to either side of 70°, but the first half of the weekend will only feature a few pockets of rain. That’s good news for any outdoor plans, because a large chunks of our area will experience little to no wet weather.

(Source: WSFA 12 News)

And then there is Sunday...

An area of surface low pressure will develop to our north Sunday, lifting a warm front through and north of the area. Within this warm sector, unstable air will develop across much of central and south Alabama.

As the surface low deepens, wind fields will intensify and strengthen wind shear too.

This combination could support a round of severe weather from roughly 12pm-10pm Sunday.

There has been some question about how far northward this warm front and associated unstable air mass would be able to make it. That question appears to be answered with most guidance suggesting this unstable air will overspread much, if not all of the area.

Severe
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There remain paths for this risk to decrease or increase, so it would be wise to stay up to date on the latest forecast trends.

The rain clears Sunday night, allowing colder air to spill in next week where frost/freeze issues are expected to develop...

(Source: WSFA 12 News)

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