MONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - Saturday is a First Alert Weather Day... more details can be found here.
First things first, perfect weather continues through Thursday afternoon. Clear, cool mornings will give way to sunny, pleasant afternoons. No rain, no problems.
Clouds increase Thursday night, and scattered areas of rain will likely develop on for the first half of Friday... while we can’t rule out a few claps of thunder Friday, we do not anticipate any severe thunderstorms.
Scattered showers continue into Friday night and Saturday morning, then a cluster of storms will move out of Mississippi and into Alabama.
By mid-morning Saturday, the environment over Alabama will be supportive of intense thunderstorms. A line of storms will sweep across the state, bringing a risk of pockets of damaging wind gusts and tornadoes from 9am through 9pm Saturday.
The main concerns are damaging wind and tornadoes; the atmosphere over our state will have plenty of wind shear. The key question - how much warm, muggy air do we get to move into Alabama?
That’s a difficult question to answer at this point, because there are small-scale processes that could increase or decrease the amount of warm, muggy air. We won’t have a clear picture about those processes until later this week. And, there are also questions regarding the “mode” of storm development - clusters, lines or individual cells - that will increase or decrease the risk. For now, we’ll call it a “Medium” risk of severe weather.
Bottom Line: There is at least some risk of severe weather across ALL of Alabama Saturday. This risk could include damaging wind and tornadoes. You need multiple, reliable ways of getting weather warnings - the WSFA First Alert Weather App, NOAA Weather Radio and WEA Alerts on your phone are all good options. You also need to know where you’d go if a tornado warning is issued for your area.