Wet week ahead, storms likely Easter Sunday

Rainy pattern arrives, some storms this week and weekend

Wet at times this week, strong storms possible Easter Sunday

MONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - Scattered showers and thunderstorms will sweep across the state tonight into Wednesday, but the coverage lessens a bit for this time period. A few showers linger into Wednesday morning.

A strong cold front will push through early Thursday, likely leading to a mainly dry day as moisture and energy gets shunted to our south. Despite the front passing through, highs will still make it into the lower 80s with some sunshine by afternoon.

The cooler air filters in for Friday and Saturday courtesy of high pressure. Temperatures will only be topping out in the lower and middle 70s with some sunshine each day. Friday will likely be dry, as will much of Saturday.

Then, the coverage and intensity of the rain starts to crank up late Saturday, and especially Saturday night into Easter Sunday... click here to read more about our building chance for heavy rain.

Forecast models continue to come into better agreement regarding a strong spring storm system affecting the Deep South and Southeast.

Severe thunderstorms looking increasingly likely for Sunday.
Severe thunderstorms looking increasingly likely for Sunday. (Source: WSFA 12 News)

From a broad perspective, many of the ingredients necessary for severe weather will be present - a strong jet stream, powerful wind in the low levels of the atmosphere, and a supply of warm, muggy air. But, the small-scale details are still quite fuzzy. The biggest question is how far northward this supply of warm, muggy air will move.

Wet at times this week, strong storms possible Easter Sunday
Wet at times this week, strong storms possible Easter Sunday (Source: WSFA 12 News)

On this subject, our models are still in disagreement. If this warm air surges northward, we could deal with a substantial risk of severe thunderstorms on Easter Sunday, and perhaps even some tornado risk.

If that warm, muggy air stays confined to the coast, then we’ll have rain and storms, but the severe weather risk will be much less.

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