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Very hot and muggy, but changes are coming

A few showers and storms today, then a drier forecast
Published: Jun. 14, 2021 at 5:35 AM CDT|Updated: Jun. 14, 2021 at 9:40 PM CDT
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MONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - It has been a very hot and muggy start to the new week, but there is a bit of good news in the forecast by the second half of Tuesday as things will start to change a bit. Monday evening features a few isolated storms, but we’re likely dry Tuesday through Friday as a cold front pushes through; that will allow drier air to filter in from the north, meaning it won’t feel as humid as has for the a short amount of time.

The humidity will be much lower Tuesday afternoon through Friday morning.
The humidity will be much lower Tuesday afternoon through Friday morning.(WSFA 12 News)

That virtually rain-free forecast is the first change on the way, and the other change will be a drop in the humidity to a more comfortable level... the first half of Tuesday will still be rather humid, but the humidity levels will be quite comfy for this time of year by later Tuesday through Friday morning.

The cold front won’t do much for temperatures as we stay in the 90s all week long, but when you have the lower humidity values it doesn’t feel as intolerable.

Rain chances by the weekend will return, but the forecast is certainly tricky and subject to change. That’s because they are mostly dependent on what happens with an area of low pressure in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. As of Monday evening, it has a 70% chance of developing into a depression or storm.

Our exact chance of rain and thunderstorms will come down to how organized that system gets, how strong it gets and where exactly it moves. As of now, it looks like we will see a surge in moisture on the east side of whatever ends up moving toward the western Gulf of Mexico. The result will probably end up being an increased chance of tropical rain showers and thunderstorms over the weekend and early next week.

Models disagree on the fine details, but moisture will increase this weekend as a system moves...
Models disagree on the fine details, but moisture will increase this weekend as a system moves toward the northern Gulf Coast. That means higher rain chances.(WSFA 12 News)

There is a some disagreement between models with this system and the forecast details will undoubtedly change. For that reason, we’re capping rain chances at 40-60% as of early this week.

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