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Typical August weekend, Fred arrives early next week

Watching the Gulf carefully
Published: Aug. 13, 2021 at 4:37 AM CDT|Updated: Aug. 13, 2021 at 10:29 PM CDT
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MONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - Our August pattern continues to chug right along. Not every day will be exactly the same, but they will be pretty close. That’s pretty much what you’d expect during the heart of summer.

Each afternoon will feature high temperatures ranging from the upper 80s to the lower and middle 90s with a mix of sun and clouds. With the tropical humidity in place, expect things to feel steamy. We’re looking at daytime “feels like” temperatures in the middle 90s to lower 100s range depending on how much rain develops on any given day.

Like we mentioned above, no day will be exactly the same in terms of rain coverage. However, most of our afternoons and evenings will feature a 40-60% chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms.

The one thing that will probably throw a wrench in our forecast early next week is Tropical Depression Fred down in the Caribbean. Fred will enter the eastern Gulf of Mexico this weekend and turn more northerly as it does so.

The exact strength and path of Fred are by no means set in stone, but most models and the National Hurricane Center keep it below hurricane intensity all the way through landfall somewhere between Biloxi, MS and Apalachicola, FL.

The heavy rain potential from Fred shows up on the 7-day rain forecast.
The heavy rain potential from Fred shows up on the 7-day rain forecast.(WSFA 12 News)

Regardless, with our area falling squarely in the middle of the latest forecast cone, we will closely monitor the progress of the system. Right now it appears as though our area is at risk for heightened rain chances, heavy rain and perhaps some breezy winds heading into early next week. The precise impacts will depend on the precise track, which remains unclear. But, we are far enough along to write up some potential impacts for our area. These will change!

Fred's possible impacts
Fred's possible impacts(WSFA 12 News)

That’s why we’ve raised rain chances for both Monday and Tuesday. Just know those are subject to change as additional details on Fred’s exact track become clearer.

Meanwhile out in the Atlantic we’ve now got Tropical Depression Seven. That system will become Tropical Storm Grace soon.

Grace will trek into the Caribbean just like Fred did, but has a higher chance of curving northward before entering the Gulf of Mexico. This may be an East Coast problem as it appears now.

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