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Fred brings rain, some wind to Alabama

Track forecast remains tricky
Published: Aug. 14, 2021 at 6:02 PM CDT|Updated: Aug. 15, 2021 at 6:47 PM CDT
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MONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - Tropical Storm Fred remains full of surprises. It has reformed a bit east of the previous center of circulation - this may cause the forecast track to swing back east a bit in future outlooks. But, based on existing data, we’ll go with a mainly unchanged forecast for central and south Alabama. The primary impacts will come Monday night into Tuesday. For most of us, it’s rain and a bit breezy. In a few spots, the wind could be strong enough to cause isolated, brief power outages. These are most likely in far south Alabama.

Widespread flooding is unlikely, but isolated problem spots could briefly flood.

Rainfall will total 2-4"+ in most spots across our area.
Rainfall will total 2-4"+ in most spots across our area.(WSFA 12 News)

Those bands will also be capable of heavy rain and a few spin-up tornadoes. The heaviest rain will fall wherever Fred’s center goes and points east -- so that’s pretty much most of the WSFA viewing area. We don’t foresee huge flooding problems, but some instances of flash flooding will be possible with rain totals for most in the 2-4″ range.

The system will be to our north by Tuesday evening, ending our impact window.

There's a spin-up tornado threat Monday into Tuesday in association with Fred.
There's a spin-up tornado threat Monday into Tuesday in association with Fred.(WSFA 12 News)

Then it’s back to highs around 90 degrees with muggy conditions resulting in daily scattered showers and storms for the rest of the 7-day forecast period.

We do have another system out there to watch closely, though. Tropical Storm Grace is entering the Caribbean and will move generally where Fred did. The latest forecast takes Grace into the Gulf of Mexico next week.

As a result, we will monitor this system closely as well. Unfortunately, Grace has a better chance of becoming stronger than Fred although its exact strength and path are by no means set in stone. Stay tuned y’all as hurricane season is ramping up!

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