Increasing rain chances this week

Today is quiet for many, scattered rain possible later tomorrow and Thursday
Mostly dry today, but better rain chances are returning by the end of the workweek...
Published: Sep. 6, 2022 at 4:22 AM CDT|Updated: Sep. 6, 2022 at 3:21 PM CDT
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MONTGOMERY, Ala. (WSFA) - After a long holiday weekend, most people are getting back into the swing of things... today will be a bit drier and warmer than our Labor Day, but a higher coverage of rain likely returns by the end of the workweek. Tuesday will feature a mix of sun and clouds; many won’t deal with any showers or storms, but an isolated downpour can’t be ruled out. Highs climb to either side of 90°, but with a very muggy atmosphere it will easily feel warmer than that.

Wednesday will be wetter than today... there is a scattered chance of showers and a few thunderstorms thanks to an approaching frontal boundary. Coverage closer to 40% is anticipated, which means there is still a decent 60% of our area that does not deal with rain.

Then comes a pretty solid push of deep tropical moisture for the end of the week and the upcoming weekend. That push of moisture will come in tandem with an area of low pressure and a front to allow for high September rain chances from Thursday thru Sunday.

Even with the pattern looking highly supportive of rain, including some heavy rain, it will not rain the entire time during that stretch. It will rain solidly in nearly every location, but some breaks are likely to be in the mix.

Rain chances are running mainly in the 50-80% range for this period. Not everyone will see heavy rain, but there will certainly be areas that do.

Tropical downpours are going to be mixed in, and this could lead to some flooding concerns due to the ground being wet.

It’s impossible to tell you where the heaviest rain and flood risk will be at this point, but the risk is there. Those east of I-65 may wind up with the highest chance of seeing heavier rainfall; the chance of rain and some storms will remain until Monday and Tuesday of next week, but coverage comes down quite substantially.

Coverage of rain climbs as by the end of the workweek...
Coverage of rain climbs as by the end of the workweek...(WSFA 12 News)

Highs will continue to be near normal near 90 degrees through Thursday before coming down for Friday and the weekend. Highs should hang in the lower to perhaps middle 80s then, but it will depend on how much rain falls and if any sun pops out.

No noticeable changes in the overnights or the mugginess are on the way over the next week. We’ll maintain the muggy feel and this will keep lows at or just above 70 degrees every night. If you are wanting some positive news regarding this, we do see the potential for a drop in humidity and overnight lows to drop below 70 next week. It’s not set in stone, but it’s a possibility!

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