Weather Blog: Warmer and wetter

MONTGOMERY, AL (WSFA) - This morning's temperature graphic was a little different that the last few days. Not a single location dipped below freezing...a signal that our warming trend is underway. Granted, it's still chilly outside. But temperatures in general today will run a solid 5-10 degrees higher than yesterday. We have a pair of systems headed our way into the weekend. The first wave arrives late tonight. The second is set for Saturday. Between the two, there isn't much to get too excited over. Both appears relatively weak...

TODAY: If we're going to sneak in any appreciable sunshine it's going to be early. Clouds will gradually develop from west to east as the day wears on. Temperatures are destined for the upper 50s north to lower 60s south, the warmest we've been in a few days. Coverage of rain to our west is impressive as it approaches the Mississippi River this morning. But I don't think it will look nearly as impressive by the time it arrives here later tonight. Overall atmospheric moisture values are pretty low around here. While they'll rise as the rain heads our way, the shield of precipitation will be fighting an uphill battle and will decay with time.

We'll go with scattered shower into the overnight hours with overall rain chances around 50% for any given location.

Overall rainfall amounts will range from next to nothing to perhaps a tenth of an inch or two on the high end. Very minor stuff.

There is zero threat for severe weather and with the rain being light zero flooding concerns. In fact, I don't think there will be a single rumble of thunder to hear.

INTO THE WEEKEND: Aside from a lingering shower Friday morning, the rest of the day looks generally dry as temperatures warm into the middle 60s. System number two heads our way Saturday. Rain should start to develop by late morning and persist into the afternoon. This system has a little more kick to it, so more people end up getting wet and the rain should be a touch heavier.

Models suggest a main low pulling to our northwest, which can be a favorable track for severe weather. But another weak wave develops in the northern Gulf. That weak wave will inhibit southerly flow from allowing sufficiently unstable air from returning to the area. That should greatly limit any threat for strong thunderstorms. While we can't rule out a gusty storm or two across south Alabama, that appears to be the extent of it. Random rumbles most anywhere will be possible but do not appear to pose a severe weather concern.

Another wintry plunge of colder air awaits by the end of the weekend into early next week. That will bring temperatures back into the 40s for highs by Monday.

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