MONTGOMERY, AL (WSFA) - A complicated setup Friday should keep the threat for isolated showers in the picture for at least one more day. It hasn't been the prettiest close to the workweek, but there are encouraging signals our weekend will be much better...
TODAY: At the surface, easterly winds are allowing a wedge setup to develop across eastern Alabama. Cooler air has settled in and will prevent temperatures from warming much as we head into the afternoon. Head a few thousand feet above our head and winds are coming from the opposite direction...west to east. An upper level low will slowly drift into the area and it's proximity will allow for continued sporadic showers throughout the day.
It's difficult to imaging rain chances at any one location being any higher than 30-40% today, meaning there will be a lot more dry periods than wet ones. But still, the threat for a few drops will be there at any given time. Highs will climb only into the lower/middle 60s on the high end and could stay in the 50s across our eastern counties. Rather unusual for mid April where average highs are in the middle 70s.
THIS WEEKEND: Patterns like this are notorious for hanging on longer than models expect, and certainly longer than many want. I get the feeling this will be one of those scenarios where the battle for rid the region of cloud cover will be a painfully slow process.
This should result in widespread cloud cover hanging on early for the Walk of Life in Montgomery. Rain chances will be very low, only around 10%. The battle will be more cloud related than rain related. By the afternoon, mixing and drier air should help gradually erode that cloud deck and offer some breaks for sunshine.
Not a bad forecast for Alabama's A-Day game.
By Sunday dry air fully wins the battle and will offer a superb close to the weekend with warm sunshine.
An active but slow moving system to our west doesn't appear to want to impact our weather through the first half of the week. That should allow for dry conditions as much warmer air builds in. That energy will try and slide eastward toward the second half of the week...which looks like our next shot at wet weather to me.